\u90fd\u8bf4\u201c\u65e9\u7761\u65e9\u8d77\u8eab\u4f53\u597d\u201d\uff0c\u4f46\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5f88\u591a\u73b0\u4ee3\u4eba\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u522b\u8bf4\u665a\u4e0a\u5341\u70b9\u7761\u89c9\u4e86\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u51cc\u6668\u4e24\u70b9\u8fd8\u5728\u5237\u77ed\u89c6\u9891\u2026\u2026<\/p>\n
\u4f46\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\uff1a\u4f5c\u606f\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u5176\u5b9e\u4e5f\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u5b83\u4e0e\u5fc3\u8840\u7ba1\u75be\u75c5(\u5fc3\u810f\u75c5\u3001\u4e2d\u98ce\u7b49)\u606f\u606f\u76f8\u5173\u3002<\/p>\n
\u665a\u4e0a 10~11 \u70b9\u5165\u7761<\/strong><\/p>\n \u5fc3\u8840\u7ba1\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u60a3\u75c5\u98ce\u9669\u6700\u4f4e<\/strong><\/p>\n \u5fc3\u8840\u7ba1\u75be\u75c5(\u5fc3\u810f\u75c5\u3001\u4e2d\u98ce\u7b49)\u6bcf\u5e74\u5bfc\u81f4\u5168\u7403\u8fd11800 \u4e07\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff0c\u662f\u5f53\u4e4b\u65e0\u6127\u7684\u201c\u5934\u53f7\u6740\u624b\u201d\u3002\u800c\u725b\u6d25\u5927\u5b66\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u4e3a\u4e86\u63a2\u7a76\u201c\u5165\u7761\u65f6\u95f4\u201d\u4e0e\u201c\u5fc3\u8840\u7ba1\u75be\u75c5\u53d1\u75c5\u7387\u201d\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5f00\u5c55\u4e86\u4e00\u9879\u5927\u578b\u7814\u7a76\u3002<\/p>\n \u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u7531\u4ed6\u4eec\u56e2\u961f\u5229\u7528 UK Biobank(\u82f1\u56fd\u751f\u7269\u6837\u672c\u5e93)\u6570\u636e\u5b8c\u6210\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6570\u636e\u5e93\u6536\u96c6\u4e86 50 \u591a\u4e07\u4eba\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u662f\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u6700\u5e9e\u5927\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u8ffd\u8e2a\u9879\u76ee\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u8fd9\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u6709 10 \u4e07\u591a\u4eba\u540c\u610f\u6234\u4e0a\u4e00\u79cd\u53eb\u201c\u52a0\u901f\u5ea6\u8ba1\u201d\u7684\u88c5\u7f6e(\u7c7b\u4f3c\u667a\u80fd\u624b\u73af)\uff0c\u8fde\u7eed 7 \u5929 24 \u5c0f\u65f6\u76d1\u6d4b\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u8eab\u4f53\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n \u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u5229\u7528\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u636e\u63a8\u7b97\u51fa\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5165\u7761\u65f6\u95f4\u3001\u8d77\u5e8a\u65f6\u95f4\u3001\u7761\u7720\u65f6\u957f\u548c\u7761\u7720\u89c4\u5f8b\u6027\u3002\u4e0e\u95ee\u5377\u6216\u65e5\u8bb0\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e0d\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e3b\u89c2\u8bb0\u5fc6\uff0c\u66f4\u5ba2\u89c2\u3001\u7cbe\u786e\u3002\u7ecf\u8fc7\u7b5b\u9009\u548c\u6392\u9664(\u6bd4\u5982\u53bb\u6389\u5df2\u6709\u5fc3\u810f\u75c5\u3001\u7761\u7720\u547c\u5438\u6682\u505c\u7684\u4eba)\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u6709 88026 \u540d\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u7684\u6570\u636e\u88ab\u7eb3\u5165\u5206\u6790\u3002<\/p>\n \u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u628a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4eba\u5206\u6210\u56db\u7ec4\uff1a\u665a\u4e0a 10:00 \u524d\u5165\u7761\u3001\u665a\u4e0a 10:00\uff5e10:59 \u5165\u7761\u3001\u665a\u4e0a 11:00\uff5e11:59 \u5165\u7761\u548c\u5348\u591c\u540e\u624d\u5165\u7761\u3002\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u5e73\u5747 5.7 \u5e74\u7684\u968f\u8bbf\uff0c\u7edf\u8ba1\u8c01\u5728\u8fd9\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\u65b0\u53d1\u4e86\u5fc3\u8840\u7ba1\u75be\u75c5(\u5982\u5fc3\u6897\u3001\u4e2d\u98ce\u3001\u5fc3\u8870\u7b49)\u3002<\/p>\n \u7ed3\u679c\u53d1\u73b0\uff1a\u4e00\u5171\u53d1\u751f\u4e86 3172 \u4f8b\u5fc3\u8840\u7ba1\u75be\u75c5\uff0c\u98ce\u9669\u6700\u4f4e\u7684\u662f\u665a\u4e0a 10\u70b9\u201310:59 \u5165\u7761\u7684\u90a3\u7ec4\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n \u8fc7\u65e9\u7761(< 10:00)\uff1a\u98ce\u9669\u589e\u52a0 24%<\/p>\n 11:00\uff5e11:59 \u7761\uff1a\u98ce\u9669\u589e\u52a0 12%<\/p>\n \u5348\u591c\u540e\u624d\u7761\uff1a\u98ce\u9669\u589e\u52a0 25%<\/p>\n \u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u6700\u4f73\u5165\u7761\u65f6\u95f4\u7a97\u53e3\u201d\u5c31\u662f\u665a\u4e0a 10 \u70b9\u5230 11 \u70b9\u4e4b\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n Kaplan\u2013Meier\u66f2\u7ebf\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u5fc3\u8840\u7ba1\u75be\u75c5\u53d1\u75c5\u7387\u968f\u65f6\u95f4\u63a8\u79fb\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u5e76\u6839\u636e\u7761\u7720\u5f00\u59cb\u65f6\u95f4\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u7ec6\u5206\u3002\u56fe\u6e90\uff1a\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e<\/p>\n \u66f4\u6709\u610f\u601d\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8fd8\u53d1\u73b0\u4e86\u660e\u663e\u7684\u6027\u522b\u5dee\u5f02\uff1a\u5973\u6027\u7684\u5fc3\u8840\u7ba1\u5065\u5eb7\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u654f\u611f\u5730\u53d7\u5230\u7761\u7720\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5973\u6027\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u8fc7\u65e9\u7761\u8fd8\u662f\u71ac\u591c\u5230\u5348\u591c\u540e\uff0c\u98ce\u9669\u90fd\u663e\u8457\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5348\u591c\u540e\u624d\u7761\u7684\u5973\u6027\uff0c\u5fc3\u8840\u7ba1\u98ce\u9669\u7adf\u7136\u6bd4\u201c10\uff5e11 \u70b9\u201d\u7ec4\u9ad8\u51fa\u4e86 63%\uff01<\/p>\n<\/p>\n \u7761\u7720\u5f00\u59cb\u65f6\u95f4\u4e0e\u5fc3\u8840\u7ba1\u75be\u75c5\u53d1\u75c5\u7387\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c(A)\u603b\u4f53\u6837\u672c\uff0c(B)\u7537\u6027\uff0c(C)\u5973\u6027\uff0c\u56fe\u6e90\uff1a\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e [1]<\/p>\n \u800c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u7537\u6027\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u201c\u8fc7\u65e9\u7761(< 10:00)\u201d\u624d\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u98ce\u9669\u589e\u52a0(17%)\uff0c\u71ac\u591c\u5f71\u54cd\u4e0d\u5982\u5973\u6027\u660e\u663e\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u51e0\u79cd\u80cc\u540e\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n 1. \u751f\u7269\u949f\u7d0a\u4e71\uff1a\u4eba\u4f53\u6709\u5185\u5728\u7684\u663c\u591c\u8282\u5f8b\u3002\u592a\u65e9\u6216\u592a\u665a\u7761\u89c9\u4f1a\u8ba9\u8282\u5f8b\u5931\u8861\uff0c\u5f71\u54cd\u8840\u538b\u3001\u6fc0\u7d20\u5206\u6ccc\u548c\u8840\u7ba1\u529f\u80fd\u3002<\/p>\n 2. \u4ee3\u8c22\u5f02\u5e38\uff1a\u665a\u7761\u548c\u65e9\u7761\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u6270\u4e71\u80f0\u5c9b\u7d20\u654f\u611f\u6027\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u80a5\u80d6\u548c\u7cd6\u5c3f\u75c5\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u662f\u5fc3\u8840\u7ba1\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u5371\u9669\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n 3. \u6027\u522b\u5dee\u5f02\uff1a\u5973\u6027\u5728\u7edd\u7ecf\u524d\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u96cc\u6fc0\u7d20\u4fdd\u62a4\uff0c\u4f46\u7761\u7720\u8282\u5f8b\u7d0a\u4e71\u53ef\u80fd\u524a\u5f31\u8fd9\u79cd\u4fdd\u62a4\uff0c\u4f7f\u5fc3\u8840\u7ba1\u98ce\u9669\u66f4\u5feb\u663e\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n \u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u63a7\u5236\u4e86\u5176\u4ed6\u53d8\u91cf(\u6bd4\u5982\u7761\u7720\u65f6\u957f\u3001\u89c4\u5f8b\u6027\u3001\u80a5\u80d6\u3001\u5438\u70df\u3001\u7cd6\u5c3f\u75c5\u3001\u9ad8\u8840\u538b\u7b49)\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u201cU \u578b\u5173\u7cfb\u201d\u4f9d\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff1a\u5165\u7761\u65f6\u95f4\u672c\u8eab\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n \u4ece\u4eca\u665a\u8d77\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u7761\u89c9\u5427<\/strong><\/p>\n 1\u628a\u63e1\u9ec4\u91d1\u5165\u7761\u65f6\u6bb5<\/p>\n \u5c3d\u91cf\u8ba9\u81ea\u5df1\u5728\u665a\u4e0a 10\uff5e11 \u70b9\u4e4b\u95f4\u5165\u7761\u3002\u907f\u514d\u957f\u671f\u71ac\u591c\u5230\u51cc\u6668\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u8981\u8fc7\u65e9\u8eba\u5e8a\u786c\u903c\u81ea\u5df1\u7761\u3002<\/p>\n 2\u4fdd\u6301\u4f5c\u606f\u89c4\u5f8b<\/p>\n \u4e0d\u8981\u9891\u7e41\u201c\u71ac\u591c+\u8865\u89c9\u201d\uff0c\u89c4\u5f8b\u7684\u751f\u7269\u949f\u5bf9\u5fc3\u810f\u66f4\u53cb\u597d\u3002<\/p>\n 3\u6539\u5584\u7761\u7720\u73af\u5883<\/p>\n \u7761\u524d\u5c11\u5237\u624b\u673a\u3001\u907f\u514d\u5f3a\u5149\u548c\u5496\u5561\u56e0\u3002\u4fdd\u6301\u5367\u5ba4\u5b89\u9759\u3001\u51c9\u723d\u3002\u7761\u524d\u505a\u4e9b\u8f7b\u677e\u7684\u4f38\u5c55\u3001\u9605\u8bfb\u6216\u51a5\u60f3\u3002<\/p>\n 4\u522b\u5fd8\u4e86\u6574\u4f53\u5065\u5eb7<\/p>\n \u7761\u7720\u53ea\u662f\u5fc3\u8840\u7ba1\u5065\u5eb7\u7684\u4e00\u73af\u3002\u996e\u98df\u5747\u8861\u3001\u575a\u6301\u8fd0\u52a8\u3001\u6212\u70df\u9650\u9152\u540c\u6837\u5173\u952e\u3002\u6709\u9ad8\u8840\u538b\u3001\u7cd6\u5c3f\u75c5\u7b49\u57fa\u7840\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u66f4\u9700\u8981\u89c4\u5f8b\u7761\u7720\u6765\u51cf\u8f7b\u5fc3\u810f\u8d1f\u62c5\u3002<\/p>\n \u597d\u7761\u7720\uff0c\u662f\u5fc3\u810f\u7684\u5b88\u62a4\u4f1e\u3002\u5728\u5feb\u8282\u594f\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u91cc\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5e38\u5e38\u727a\u7272\u7761\u7720\u53bb\u5de5\u4f5c\u3001\u5a31\u4e50\uff0c\u4f46\u8eab\u4f53\u7684\u4ee3\u4ef7\u662f\u957f\u671f\u7d2f\u79ef\u7684\u3002\u867d\u7136\u71ac\u591c\u4e0d\u7b49\u4e8e\u4e00\u5b9a\u5bfc\u81f4\u5fc3\u810f\u75c5\uff0c\u4f46\u201c\u7761\u4e2a\u597d\u89c9\u201d\u7edd\u4e0d\u662f\u5c0f\u4e8b\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u90fd\u8bf4\u201c\u65e9\u7761\u65e9\u8d77\u8eab\u4f53\u597d\u201d\uff0c\u4f46\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5f88\u591a\u73b0\u4ee3\u4eba\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u522b\u8bf4\u665a\u4e0a\u5341\u70b9\u7761\u89c9\u4e86\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u51cc\u6668\u4e24\u70b9\u8fd8\u5728\u5237\u77ed\u89c6\u9891\u2026\u2026 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